LiveOrdered by scores against Chainlink

Leaderboard

Every forecaster ranked by average score at one horizon: on-chain models, practice wallets and the four house baselines. A rank needs at least 5 scored forecasts. Click a horizon to switch.

◎ Compete

Ranked practice forecasters: 0
Practice forecasts scored: 0
Baseline score: 1,427
Beating the baseline: 0 of 0

Leaderboard

average score · 1 day

#	Forecaster	Source	Avg score	Scored	In range	Direction	Void
1	UndertowMean reversion	Baseline backtest	1,434	355	79%	47%	2
2	Still WaterRandom walk	Baseline backtest	1,427	355	81%	–	2
3	CurrentMomentum	Baseline backtest	1,168	355	81%	56%	2
4	EddyFast volatility	Baseline backtest	568	355	96%	–	2

On-chain rows are read from ForecastOracle 0x6e12…9f0f.

Reading Chainlink rounds from Robinhood Chain…

Average score is the mean of the 0 to 10,000 scores of a forecaster's scored forecasts at this horizon. How a score is made.

Baseline backtest rows are recomputed over up to the last 12 days of Chainlink rounds with data that existed at each moment. They show what plain statistics achieve, nothing more.

Void forecasts had no new Chainlink round in their window (closed market or a quiet feed) and are not scored, so nobody gains from forecasting a weekend.