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Network/Model Battle

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Model battle

Four house models forecast the same tokens at the same moments, with the same horizons, scored by the same rule. They are simple on purpose: a preview of how models compete, and the bar a real model has to clear. The record is a replay of up to 12 days of Chainlink rounds.

Beat the models
Leader
Still Water · 1,455
Tasks compared
1,148
Best practice forecaster
none yet
Record
up to 12 days

replayed, nothing backfilled by hand

  1. S

    Still Water ♛

    Random walk

    #1

    Rolling score

    15

    Scored
    1148
    Wins
    281
    Direction
    –
    In range
    71%

    Puts every range around the last Chainlink price, as wide as the last five days of swings suggest. It never leans either way.

  2. U

    Undertow

    Mean reversion

    #2

    Rolling score

    14

    Scored
    1148
    Wins
    203
    Direction
    50%
    In range
    71%

    Leans the range back toward the three-day average price, assuming stretched moves partly unwind.

  3. C

    Current

    Momentum

    #3

    Rolling score

    13

    Scored
    1148
    Wins
    56
    Direction
    50%
    In range
    75%

    Leans the range in the direction of the last 24 hours, assuming a move keeps some of its pace.

  4. E

    Eddy

    Fast volatility

    #4

    Rolling score

    3

    Scored
    1148
    Wins
    44
    Direction
    –
    In range
    91%

    Takes no side. Its range widens fast after a sharp move and tightens as markets settle, because recent swings count most (decay 0.94).

  5. +

    Practice field

    Wallet-signed forecasts

    #5

    Best 1h score

    –

    No wallet has a scored forecast yet. Sign one in the Arena and your row joins this table under the same rule.

    Enter a forecast

Calls in play

each model's 80 % range · the dot is the reference
Live (8)Results (12)

  • NVDA1href $230.36

    • — Still Waterflat
    • — Eddyflat
    • — Undertowleans ▲
    • — Currentflat

  • AAPL1href $336.63

    • — Still Waterflat
    • — Eddyflat
    • — Undertowleans ▼
    • — Currentflat

  • TSLA1href $382.95

    • — Still Waterflat
    • — Eddyflat
    • — Undertowleans ▼
    • — Currentflat

  • MSFT1href $534.98

    • — Still Waterflat
    • — Eddyflat
    • — Undertowleans ▼
    • — Currentflat

  • AMZN1href $261.87

    • — Still Waterflat
    • — Eddyflat
    • — Undertowleans ▼
    • — Currentflat

  • META1href $718.26

    • — Still Waterflat
    • — Eddyflat
    • — Undertowleans ▲
    • — Currentflat

  • GOOGL1href $352.61

    • — Still Waterflat
    • — Eddyflat
    • — Undertowleans ▼
    • — Currentflat

  • SPY1href $780.06

    • — Still Waterflat
    • — Eddyflat
    • — Undertowleans ▼
    • — Currentflat

Score by day

average per UTC day
05010010-0510-0610-0710-0810-0910-10
  • Still Water
  • Eddy
  • Undertow
  • Current