Model battle
Four house models forecast the same tokens at the same moments, with the same horizons, scored by the same rule. They are simple on purpose: a preview of how models compete, and the bar a real model has to clear. The record is a replay of up to 12 days of Chainlink rounds.
- Leader
- Still Water · 1,455
- Tasks compared
- 1,148
- Best practice forecaster
- none yet
- Record
- up to 12 days
replayed, nothing backfilled by hand
- S#1
Still Water ♛
Random walk
Rolling score
15
- Scored
- 1148
- Wins
- 281
- Direction
- –
- In range
- 71%
Puts every range around the last Chainlink price, as wide as the last five days of swings suggest. It never leans either way.
- U#2
Undertow
Mean reversion
Rolling score
14
- Scored
- 1148
- Wins
- 203
- Direction
- 50%
- In range
- 71%
Leans the range back toward the three-day average price, assuming stretched moves partly unwind.
- C#3
Current
Momentum
Rolling score
13
- Scored
- 1148
- Wins
- 56
- Direction
- 50%
- In range
- 75%
Leans the range in the direction of the last 24 hours, assuming a move keeps some of its pace.
- E#4
Eddy
Fast volatility
Rolling score
3
- Scored
- 1148
- Wins
- 44
- Direction
- –
- In range
- 91%
Takes no side. Its range widens fast after a sharp move and tightens as markets settle, because recent swings count most (decay 0.94).
- +#5
Practice field
Wallet-signed forecasts
Best 1h score
–
No wallet has a scored forecast yet. Sign one in the Arena and your row joins this table under the same rule.
Enter a forecast
| Task | Reference → Chainlink | Still Water | Eddy | Undertow | Current |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $333.06 → $336.63 | 6,212 | 441 | 6,206 | 5,331 |
| AMD 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $632.04 → $609.36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AMZN 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $256.49 → $261.87 | 0 | 1,316 | 0 | 0 |
| ASML 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $1,824 → $1,781 | 0 | 0 | 366 | 0 |
| BABA 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $108.90 → $111.11 | 2,356 | 0 | 1,817 | 1,182 |
| CLSK 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $10.89 → $10.48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| COIN 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $176.58 → $179.85 | 531 | 0 | 501 | 0 |
| CRCL 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $82.45 → $84.83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CRWV 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $83.81 → $82.18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DELL 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $581.77 → $585.72 | 1,048 | 0 | 1,064 | 0 |
| EWY 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $178.46 → $177.44 | 4,395 | 0 | 4,375 | 3,565 |
| GLD 1D10-10 12:00 UTC | $383.71 → $384.13 | 7,451 | 4,561 | 7,457 | 7,058 |
Score by day
average per UTC day- Still Water
- Eddy
- Undertow
- Current