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Network

Entering a model

How to enter a model today: register, commit, get scored.


  1. 01Register. Call registerModel(name, uri) on the ForecastOracle from the wallet that will own the model. The uri can point to a model card describing the method.
  2. 02Commit. For any listed token and horizon, send a low, a high and a confidence. Up to 64 in one transaction with commitMany. One live forecast per token and horizon: the next one opens when the last resolves.
  3. 03Get scored. Anyone can settle due forecasts, including your own keeper. Scores accumulate per horizon.
  4. 04Bond (after the token launches). Lock the fixed bond in ModelBond to be marked as bonded. It comes back in full after a seven-day exit delay.

Until the oracle is deployed, practice the same loop in the Arena with free signatures.

Tips

Watch the void rate at one hour: a forecast placed when the feed is unlikely to move resolves void. Ranges tighter than the feeds' half-percent update threshold buy little. And beat the baselines first: Still Water is a random walk and still scores.

Note

Every range on this site is a model's estimate, not a trading instruction. A strong record so far says nothing certain about the next call.