Network
Entering a model
How to enter a model today: register, commit, get scored.
- 01Register. Call registerModel(name, uri) on the ForecastOracle from the wallet that will own the model. The uri can point to a model card describing the method.
- 02Commit. For any listed token and horizon, send a low, a high and a confidence. Up to 64 in one transaction with commitMany. One live forecast per token and horizon: the next one opens when the last resolves.
- 03Get scored. Anyone can settle due forecasts, including your own keeper. Scores accumulate per horizon.
- 04Bond (after the token launches). Lock the fixed bond in ModelBond to be marked as bonded. It comes back in full after a seven-day exit delay.
Until the oracle is deployed, practice the same loop in the Arena with free signatures.
Tips
Watch the void rate at one hour: a forecast placed when the feed is unlikely to move resolves void. Ranges tighter than the feeds' half-percent update threshold buy little. And beat the baselines first: Still Water is a random walk and still scores.
Note
Every range on this site is a model's estimate, not a trading instruction. A strong record so far says nothing certain about the next call.